Moonshine Kingdom - Combat Monte Carlo Simulator v0.9

Combat Simulator v0.9 (Monte Carlo)

Setup

Invader Runners

Occupier Runners

Invader Options

Boss

Mob Kit

Total Mobsters 0

Occupier Options

Boss Safehouse

Occupier Barrels (Plunder target)

Only Sicilian garrisons (Untouchable) survive the Sweep above 5 mobsters: just raise the Runner count to model one.

Total Mobsters 0

Monte Carlo Trials

Invader Influence Remaining

How each trial resolves

Each trial: opening Ambush (unless Stealth), then the Pinned invader spends Influence per volley until it runs out: Open Fire costs 1, Hit costs 2, Torch costs 1 plus a sacrificed Runner. At 0 Influence the invader must Fall Back (mobsters survive, liquor lost). A Plunder raid always keeps 1 Influence back to Advance out with the loot (Fall Back would drop it). Firepower is the free Irish Trait: it boosts the invader's Open Fire volleys only, never an Ambush or any defence. Heat: only the first shot counts. A firefight adds one marker, to whoever fired first: here the occupier's Ambush, so the invader who storms in draws none. (If Stealth denies the ambush, the invader fires first and takes it.) The model assumes an occupier with a Ledger marker in hand who always Ambushes; a spent-out or laid-low defender forfeits the shot.

Results

Ready. Configure setup and click Run Simulation.

Invader Takes District

Occupier Holds District

Mutual Wipeout

Fall Back (Out of Influence)

Mobsters survive; liquor left behind

Metric	Value
Average Volleys per Trial	-
Average Invader Casualties per Trial	-
Average Occupier Casualties per Trial	-
Trials with Ambush Casualties	-
Rival Boss Killed	-
Barrels Stolen per Trial (kept on Advance)	-
Heat marker	-
Influence Spent per Trial (Move + Volleys)	-